Keurig Dr Pepper Stock Outlook: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?

Core Insights - Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) has a market capitalization of $37.6 billion and operates in the beverage and brewing systems sector, producing brands like Dr Pepper and Snapple [1] Performance Overview - KDP shares have underperformed the broader market, declining 16.9% over the past 52 weeks, while the S&P 500 Index has increased by 17.4% [2] - Year-to-date, KDP shares are down 14.6%, contrasting with the S&P 500's nearly 16% gain [2] - KDP has also lagged behind the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund, which has seen a decline of over 5% in the past 52 weeks [3] Recent Financial Results - On October 27, KDP reported Q3 2025 results with net sales rising 10.7% to $4.31 billion and adjusted EPS increasing 5.9% to $0.54 [4] - The growth was primarily driven by a 14.4% surge in U.S. Refreshment Beverages, with the GHOST acquisition contributing 7.2 percentage points to volume growth [4] - KDP raised its full-year constant currency net sales growth outlook to a high-single-digit range, boosting investor confidence [4] Analyst Expectations - For the fiscal year ending December 2025, analysts project KDP's adjusted EPS to grow 6.8% year-over-year to $2.05 [5] - KDP has a strong earnings surprise history, having beaten or met consensus estimates in the last four quarters [5] - Among 16 analysts covering the stock, the consensus rating is a "Strong Buy," with nine "Strong Buy" ratings, one "Moderate Buy," five "Holds," and one "Strong Sell" [5] Price Target Adjustments - On October 29, Jefferies lowered its price target on KDP to $39 while maintaining a "Buy" rating [7] - The mean price target of $34.94 indicates a 26.2% premium to KDP's current price levels, while the highest price target of $42 suggests a potential upside of 51.7% [7]