Panda Dairy (SZ:300898) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-11-02 06:44Core Insights - Panda Dairy reported a total revenue of 586 million yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, a 3% increase year-on-year, while net profit decreased by 8% to 72 million yuan [1] - In Q3 2025, total revenue reached 233 million yuan, marking a 12% increase year-on-year, with net profit slightly decreasing by 1% to 30 million yuan [1] Financial Performance - Q3 2025 gross margin decreased by 3 percentage points to 26.16%, primarily due to fluctuations in milk powder and fresh milk prices [2] - The sales and management expense ratios decreased by 0.4 percentage points and 1 percentage point to 3.75% and 4.50%, respectively, while net profit margin decreased by 2 percentage points to 12.70% [2] Business Segments - The condensed milk business remained stable, with the company pre-stocking milk powder and benefiting from a decline in sugar prices, ensuring stable product gross margins [3] - The cream cheese business showed slight growth, with collaborations to develop cheese snack products enhancing the consumer end layout [3] - The coconut product business experienced a significant increase in customer orders, with raw material prices entering a downward trend, and the expected production capacity from the Hainan plant alleviating capacity pressure [3] Profit Forecast - The company is expected to consolidate its condensed milk base and continue developing a second growth curve, optimizing retail channel construction [4] - EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 0.79, 0.92, and 1.06 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 33, 29, and 25 times [4]