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航天强国战略提升!最新解读来了
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao·2025-11-02 08:22

Core Viewpoint - The commercial aerospace industry is entering a golden era of scaled development, driven by policy support, capital investment, and technological advancements, particularly following the elevation of the "Aerospace Power" strategy in China's 20th Central Committee [1][3][4] Policy and Strategic Importance - The "Aerospace Power" strategy has been recognized as a core national strategy, indicating a significant upgrade in policy support for the aerospace industry, which is expected to attract more resources and investment [3][4] - The 14th Five-Year Plan emphasizes the acceleration of strategic emerging industries, including aerospace, which is anticipated to lead to rapid growth in demand and commercialization [4][12] Investment Logic Transformation - The investment logic in the aerospace sector is shifting from theme-driven to a more fundamental-driven approach, focusing on long-term industry trends rather than short-term thematic investments [3][6] - The aerospace sector is expected to transition from being primarily military-focused to encompassing more commercial applications, with significant growth potential in areas like satellite communication and general aviation [7][11] Industry Fundamentals and Valuation - Current fundamentals in the aerospace industry are improving, with companies showing high gross margins and growth potential, making the sector attractive for value investment [6][7] - The valuation of aerospace companies is considered reasonable, with many firms not experiencing significant price increases recently, suggesting a favorable risk-reward profile [6][13] Commercialization and Growth Prospects - The commercialization of aerospace is expected to accelerate, particularly in satellite communication and low-altitude economy sectors, driven by technological advancements and decreasing costs [5][10] - The aerospace industry is projected to see a surge in demand over the next five years, supported by strong policy backing and market dynamics [4][12] Sector Performance and Timing - The aerospace sector is viewed as being in a developmental early stage, with significant long-term growth potential, but also facing high risks due to technological uncertainties and market competition [8][13] - Investors are advised to consider index-based investment strategies to mitigate risks associated with stock selection in this complex industry [12][13] Expected Order of Performance in the Value Chain - The aerospace industry's performance is expected to materialize in phases, starting with satellite infrastructure, followed by low-altitude vehicles and aerospace materials, and finally commercial applications [9][10]