“十五五”战略性新兴产业名单更新：新能源汽车因何“落榜”？

Core Insights - The exclusion of new energy vehicles (NEVs) from the "14th Five-Year Plan" strategic emerging industries list indicates a shift in focus towards other technologies such as quantum technology, biomanufacturing, hydrogen energy, and controllable nuclear fusion, reflecting new trends in industrial development [1][3][6] Industry Challenges - The NEV industry is currently facing significant challenges, including overcapacity, with utilization rates dropping below 40% in 2024, leading to substantial resource waste [1] - The average annual sales for 60% of car manufacturers are below 10,000 units, highlighting a severe imbalance in supply and demand [1] - The automotive industry's revenue is projected to grow by 4% to 10.6 trillion yuan in 2024, but profits are expected to decline by 8% to 462.3 billion yuan, resulting in a profit margin of only 4.3%, which is below the average of 6% for downstream industrial enterprises [2] Market Dynamics - Intense price competition has emerged in the domestic NEV market, with major manufacturers like Tesla and Geely reducing prices by 10%-15% to maintain market share, which has pressured profit margins [2] - The shift in focus from NEVs to broader new energy sectors, such as hydrogen energy and controllable nuclear fusion, suggests a diversification of the new energy industry [3][6] Strategic Directions - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the importance of collaboration and integration across industries, with opportunities for NEVs to merge with low-altitude economy sectors, such as flying cars [4] - Companies are encouraged to innovate their business models and enhance resource integration capabilities, particularly through overseas investments and partnerships in emerging markets [5] Future Outlook - The strategic adjustment towards a more diversified and collaborative industrial landscape is expected to drive the overall competitiveness and added value of the industry [4][6]