鲍威尔鹰派言论施压 伦敦金短线震荡偏多

Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are influenced by the cautious stance of the Federal Reserve and the easing of US-China trade relations, leading to a short-term bullish outlook for gold despite recent declines [1][2]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve lowered the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75%–4% and plans to end its balance sheet reduction on December 1 [2]. - Jerome Powell's cautious remarks indicated that further rate cuts in December are not guaranteed, emphasizing the need to manage persistent inflation risks [2][3]. - Market expectations for a December rate cut dropped from 90% to 63% following Powell's statements, reflecting a shift in sentiment among investors [3]. Group 2: Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices are currently trading around $3,997.52 per ounce, with a recent low of $3,962.33, marking the lowest level since early October [1]. - Technical analysis shows that gold remains in the upper half of its annual upward channel, with key support levels at $3,970, $3,900, and $3,850-$3,820 [4]. - Resistance levels are identified at $4,090, $4,130, and the psychological level of $4,200, with a potential new upward trend if prices can stabilize above $4,100 [4]. Group 3: Future Influences - Upcoming US employment and inflation data, along with Federal Reserve officials' comments and geopolitical factors, are expected to significantly impact gold prices [5]. - Investors are closely monitoring these signals for indications of inflationary pressures easing or signs of economic slowdown as they seek new investment opportunities [5].