智通财经网·2025-11-03 03:33Core Viewpoint - Jianyin International has slightly lowered the target price for Xiaomi Group-W (01810) by 2.9% from HKD 69 to HKD 67 while maintaining an "Outperform" rating due to adjustments in profit margins for IoT and smartphones [1] Financial Performance - The forecast for Xiaomi's Q3 2025 revenue is expected to be slightly below market expectations, with a year-on-year increase of 22% to RMB 112.7 billion, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 3% [1] - Adjusted net profit for Q3 is projected to be RMB 9.7 billion, a year-on-year increase of 55% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 10% [1] - The smartphone gross margin is anticipated to be under pressure, expected to be around 11% due to rising component prices, particularly for LPDDR4X smartphones [1] IoT and Electric Vehicle (EV) Growth - Growth in the IoT segment is expected to slow significantly, primarily due to a high base from the previous year influenced by government subsidies, with a reduction in subsidies this quarter [1] - Despite the impact of price wars being limited, the IoT segment is projected to grow by 25% and 22% in the fiscal years 2025 and 2026, respectively [1] - For the EV sector, Q3 deliveries are expected to reach 108,800 units, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 34%, with revenue from EVs projected at RMB 28.7 billion [1]