全球央行周“下半场”来袭：英国央行恐按兵不动，持续一年的季度性降息节奏或迎转折点

Group 1 - The Bank of England is expected to maintain interest rates at 4% during the upcoming meeting on November 7, breaking a pattern of rate cuts that has persisted since August 2024 [1][5] - The decision comes amid inflation rates nearly double the 2% target and in anticipation of the autumn budget announcement on November 26 [1][5] - If the Bank of England holds rates steady, it will contrast sharply with the Federal Reserve's recent policy easing [1][5] Group 2 - Despite the pause in rate cuts, there is speculation that this may be temporary, with traders increasing bets on a potential rate cut in December, with probabilities nearing 60% [5] - Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey has indicated uncertainty regarding the timing of future rate cuts, especially with the upcoming budget announcement [5] - Economists suggest that the Bank of England is unlikely to cut rates again until there is a clear downward trend in inflation data, potentially not until April next year [5]