第一上海:维持时代电气(03898)“买入”评级 目标价55港元
智通财经网·2025-11-03 07:05

Core Viewpoint - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Times Electric (03898) with a target price of HKD 55.0, projecting revenue growth from 27.8 billion to 34.6 billion RMB from 2025 to 2027, with net profit increasing from 4.1 billion to 5.1 billion RMB during the same period [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 18.83 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 14.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.72 billion RMB, up 10.9% year-on-year [1] - The company's non-recurring net profit reached 2.61 billion RMB, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 30.9% [1] - The overall gross margin improved by 3.1 percentage points to 32.4%, primarily due to changes in revenue structure [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The rail transit business generated revenue of 10.31 billion RMB, marking a year-on-year increase of 9.2%, while the emerging equipment business achieved revenue of 8.43 billion RMB, up 22.3% [1] - Within the emerging equipment segment, the revenue from basic components was 3.84 billion RMB, growing by 30.4%, and revenue from new energy generation reached 1.59 billion RMB, increasing by 25.3% [1] - The automotive electric drive segment reported revenue of 1.87 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.3% [1] Group 3: Industry Trends - The rail transit business is experiencing stable growth, with maintenance services accounting for approximately 22% of rail transit revenue in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating a significant increase compared to the same period last year [2] - The demand for rail maintenance is expected to rise due to high passenger volumes and the replacement of old diesel locomotives, creating continuous incremental demand [2] - The semiconductor new factory has reached full production capacity of 30,000 pieces per month, contributing to rapid revenue growth [3]