Core Viewpoint - The recovery of EPS (Earnings Per Share) is expected to drive stock market growth, with predictions indicating this recovery will occur around January 2026 due to economic signals [1][2] Group 1: Economic Indicators - M1, representing immediate payment capacity, is anticipated to lead PPI (Producer Price Index) by 6-9 months, indicating a warming economy [1] - Historical data suggests that when M1 turns positive and rises, PPI will also rebound, with predictions of PPI reaching 0.1% year-on-year by January 2026 [2] Group 2: Impact on Companies - A rebound in PPI will particularly benefit companies in cyclical sectors such as energy and raw materials, leading to significant improvements in their EPS [2] - The shift in market preference observed in 2015-2016, when PPI turned positive, indicates a potential movement of funds from high-valuation growth stocks to dividend-paying stocks [2] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Current market conditions may present a rare opportunity for long-term investors to accumulate dividend value stocks, particularly those with low volatility [2] - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Central Enterprise Dividend Index, which includes stable dividend-paying companies controlled by central enterprises, has gained popularity in recent years [3]
当前或是红利价值筹码收集期,你认同吗?如果要收集,你会选谁呢?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen·2025-11-03 07:13