Tariff headwinds unsettle packaging prices and M&A

Core Insights - The United States is set to double tariffs on imported steel and aluminium to 50% in June 2025, impacting the global packaging industry significantly [1] Rising Metal Costs - The increase in tariffs is expected to drive up consumer prices, as seen in previous tariff implementations where prices for canned goods rose noticeably [2] - A midsized US can producer reported a nearly 33% increase in aluminium sheet costs since the new duties took effect, leading to anticipated price hikes for customers in early 2026 [3] Supply Chain Adjustments - Packaging firms are exploring alternatives to imported metals, such as flexible pouches made from recycled materials, particularly for sauces and pet food [4] - Some companies are shifting towards nearshore production, with North American suppliers investing in local steel rolling mills to reduce reliance on overseas inputs [5] Mergers and Acquisitions - The uncertain tariff landscape has accelerated mergers and acquisitions in the packaging sector, with larger companies acquiring smaller firms to enhance supply chains and sustainable product offerings [6] - Private equity investors are focusing on companies with strong automation and sustainability practices, driven by new regulations like Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR) in the UK [7]