港股速报｜港股市场小幅反弹 彻底走稳了吗？

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a rebound on November 3, with various indices showing slight gains, although the Hang Seng Tech Index remained weak [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,158.36 points, up 251.71 points, a rise of 0.97% [1]. - The Hang Seng Tech Index closed at 5,922.48 points, increasing by 14.40 points, a gain of 0.24% [3]. Group 2: Sector Performance - The rebound in the Hong Kong stock market was primarily driven by cyclical stocks, with coal stocks leading the gains. Yanzhou Coal Mining (01171.HK) and China Coal Energy (01898.HK) rose over 4%, while China Shenhua Energy (01088.HK) and Shougang Resources (00639.HK) increased by over 2% [5]. - Oil stocks also performed strongly, with several reaching recent highs. China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (00386.HK) and Sinopec Engineering (02386.HK) rose over 2%, while China National Offshore Oil Corporation (00883.HK) increased by over 3% [5]. - In the tech sector, Xiaomi rose over 3% and NetEase increased by over 1%, while Alibaba fell over 1% and Tencent slightly decreased by 0.16% [6]. - Financial stocks were active, with China Construction Bank rising over 3% and AIA Group increasing by over 5% [6]. - Automotive stocks showed strength, with NIO and Xpeng rising over 4% and Li Auto increasing by over 1% [6]. - Gold stocks weakened, with Zijin Mining falling over 1% [6]. Group 3: Capital Flow and Future Outlook - As of the market close, southbound funds net bought over 5.4 billion HKD in Hong Kong stocks [6]. - CICC forecasts that profit growth in Hong Kong stocks will become a major driving force by 2026, with non-financial offshore Chinese stocks expected to see a profit growth rate of 15%, up from 10% in 2025 [8]. - The overall market valuation is expected to remain stable with a slight increase, and liquidity may peak in the first half of the year, necessitating attention to fundamental recovery [8]. - The inflow of southbound funds may slow to between 750 billion and 980 billion HKD, but foreign capital is expected to continue to increase due to stabilization in China's fundamentals and RMB appreciation [8]. - According to Guotai Junan, the tech sector in Hong Kong is expected to become a main theme in 2026, driven by the AI wave, with a focus on AI applications and semiconductor manufacturing [8].