民生证券:首予中国黄金国际“推荐”评级金价步入右侧区间
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-11-03 10:33

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Minsheng Securities initiates coverage on China Gold International (02099) with a "Buy" rating, projecting revenue growth from 2025 to 2027 at $1,119 million, $1,222 million, and $1,339 million, representing growth rates of 47.9%, 9.2%, and 9.6% respectively [1] - The company possesses two high-quality mines: the Changshanhao Gold Mine and the Jiama Polymetallic Mine, which have shown stable production and profitability growth before 2023 [1] - After experiencing impacts from tailings storage and slope issues in 2023, the company's production is expected to gradually recover in 2024, with significant growth anticipated in 2025 [1] Group 2 - The report indicates that by the second half of 2025, U.S. inflation is expected to decline overall, with non-farm payroll data often falling short of expectations and past data being continuously revised downwards [1] - The likelihood of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in September and October is highlighted, which could catalyze a rise in gold prices, as evidenced by gold breaking out of a volatile range in September [1]