莱绅通灵(603900)季报点评:转型成效持续显现 Q3业绩受季节性及金价波动影响

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue growth in Q3 2025, with a significant year-on-year increase in both revenue and net profit, indicating a successful turnaround from previous losses [1][4]. Revenue Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.2 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 35.95% [1] - In Q3 alone, revenue reached 330 million yuan, up 33.26% year-on-year [1] - Revenue breakdown by product category shows significant growth in embedded diamond jewelry (661 million yuan, +60.73%), steady growth in traditional gold products (434 million yuan, +16.16%), and modest increases in jadeite and other products [2] - Revenue by channel indicates strong performance in franchise (139 million yuan, +89.59%) and steady growth in direct sales (815 million yuan, +45.37%), while online sales saw a slight decline (238 million yuan, -1.37%) [2] - Jiangsu province was the main revenue contributor in Q3, generating 605 million yuan, a 66.44% increase year-on-year [2] Store Expansion and Channel Optimization - As of the end of Q3 2025, the company operated a total of 335 stores, comprising 223 direct stores and 112 franchise stores [3] - In Q3, the company opened 13 new direct stores and closed 46, resulting in a net decrease of 33 stores; franchise stores saw 21 openings and 30 closures, leading to a net decrease of 9 stores [3] - The company aims to optimize store layout and improve operational efficiency [3] Profitability and Future Outlook - Q3 profitability faced short-term pressure due to seasonal factors and non-operating losses, particularly from fair value changes in gold leasing [3] - Despite these challenges, the core business remained profitable, with a net profit of 12 million yuan after excluding non-recurring losses [3] - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with projected net profits of 82 million yuan, 140 million yuan, and 200 million yuan for 2025 to 2027, respectively [4] - The stock price as of October 31 corresponds to a PE valuation of 38.7x for 2025, 23.2x for 2026, and 15.6x for 2027 [4]