索通发展(603612)：阳极价格回升 增量空间明确

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 12.762 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 28.66%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 654 million yuan, up 201.81% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 4.456 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.38%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 29.47% to 131 million yuan [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - The average price of prebaked anodes in Q3 2025 was 5,186 yuan per ton, an increase of 38.3% compared to the same period last year [2] - In the first half of 2025, the company produced 1.7605 million tons of prebaked anodes, a year-on-year increase of 12.23%, with sales reaching 1.6901 million tons, up 9.82% [2] - The company exported 445,600 tons of prebaked anodes, a year-on-year increase of 13.18%, while domestic sales were 1.2445 million tons, up 8.66% [2] - Lithium battery anode production surged by 84.91% year-on-year to 42,900 tons, with sales increasing by 120% to 44,000 tons [2] - Capacitor production reached 775 million units, a year-on-year increase of 3.52%, with sales of 788 million units, up 8.47% [2] Capacity Expansion and Strategic Initiatives - The construction of a 600,000-ton prebaked anode project in Guangxi, a joint venture with Geely Baikuang, is nearing completion, enhancing the company's export capabilities [3] - A 320,000-ton prebaked anode project in Jiangsu, in partnership with Huafeng Group, is in the planning stage, aimed at meeting Southeast Asian market demand and increasing export market share [3] - The company has signed a joint development agreement with EGA for its first overseas prebaked anode project, which is progressing steadily [3] Investment Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.02 billion yuan, 1.24 billion yuan, and 1.55 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 12, 10, and 8 times [4]