There's 'overwhelming evidence' tariffs have raised consumer prices, says Bank of America
Business Insider·2025-11-03 11:47

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America analysts assert that President Trump's tariffs have significantly increased consumer inflation, with no debate on this matter [1]. Group 1: Impact of Tariffs - Since the introduction of "Liberation Day" tariffs on April 2, trade deals have been negotiated with some partners, but tariffs on countries like China and Canada remain high [2]. - Trump claims that tariffs will help rebalance the trade deficit and encourage domestic shopping, leading to more manufacturing jobs in the US [2]. Group 2: Economic Analysis - Economists warn that the costs of tariffs will ultimately be passed on to consumers, with S&P Global estimating that Trump's tariffs will cost businesses $1.2 trillion this year [3]. - Analysts believe there is strong evidence that tariffs have contributed to higher inflation for consumers [3]. Group 3: Inflation Metrics - Tariffs are estimated to account for 30 to 50 basis points of the core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation rate, which tracks price changes for goods and services [4]. - Consumers have reportedly borne 50% to 70% of the total tariff costs to date, indicating that tariffs may continue to exert upward pressure on inflation in the future [4]. - The PCE price index increased by 2.7% year-on-year in August, reflecting a rise of 0.1% over the previous two months and 0.2% compared to May [5].