Schein: You don't want to go against seasonality

Market Trends - The market is expected to follow a seasonal trend, with November and December historically showing an average increase of 15% or more, followed by an additional 5% gain [1][2] - There is a belief that the current market setup will lead to a strong year-end performance, with technology stocks taking the lead [2][4] Sector Performance - Over the past month, equal-weighted and momentum trades have underperformed, with quality dividend-paying stocks also lagging [3] - Technology remains the leading sector, and it is recommended to allocate a significant portion of investment portfolios to tech stocks to capture the year-end rally [4] Consumer Spending Concerns - There are concerns regarding the impact of rising costs on middle and lower-income consumers, particularly with potential increases in Affordable Care Act payments by up to 114% for about 22 million people [5][6] - The economy is described as K-shaped, where investors and those with real estate have fared well, while lower-income consumers are facing challenges [6][7] Investment Opportunities - For value-seeking consumers, companies like Amazon and Costco are highlighted as strong investment opportunities [8][9] - Costco has shown resilience with a profitable membership model and a 15% growth in online sales, while Amazon has reported strong earnings and significant investments in AI and cloud services [9][10][11] - Apple is considered undervalued by approximately 18% based on discounted cash flow models, with ongoing AI integration and a large install base of devices [12]