Shopify Earnings Due Amid OpenAI Deal, Management Changes. Q4 Holiday Outlook Key.
ShopifyShopify(US:SHOP) Investors·2025-11-03 13:00

Core Insights - Shopify is expected to report a 4% decline in adjusted Q3 earnings to $0.34 per share, while revenue is projected to increase by 27% to $2.756 billion [2] - The company anticipates a gross merchandise volume growth of 28% to $89.12 billion [2] - Analysts are particularly interested in management's commentary regarding the impact of artificial intelligence on online shopping and the outlook for the holiday shopping season [3] Financial Performance - Q3 earnings are expected to show a decline due to rising investments and marketing expenses [2] - Q4 guidance is anticipated to align with market expectations, projecting mid-20s revenue growth and low-20s gross profit growth [4] - GAAP operating expenses are expected to be in the low 30s as a percentage of revenue [4] Management Changes - Recent departures include Shopify's Chief Operating Officer Kaz Nejatian and Chief Revenue Officer Bobby Morrison, with Jessica Hertz appointed as the new COO [5] Stock Performance - Shopify stock increased by 17% to $173.86 last month and has risen 63% year-to-date, reaching an all-time high [6] - The stock holds a Composite Rating of 97 out of a possible 99, indicating strong growth potential [8] - The Accumulation/Distribution Rating is B, suggesting moderate institutional buying [9] Strategic Partnerships - Shopify's partnership with OpenAI allows merchants to sell directly within ChatGPT conversations, potentially increasing market share in gross merchandise volume [7] - OpenAI will charge a small transaction fee for completed purchases, with the partnership possibly limiting direct monetization for Shopify [7]