Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2025-11-03 18:11Core Viewpoint - The strong international gold prices and rising global risk aversion are driving the growth of banks' precious metals businesses, with significant year-on-year increases reported in the third-quarter financial results of listed banks. However, the recent fluctuations in gold prices present new challenges for these banking operations [1]. Group 1: Growth in Precious Metals Business - The precious metals business of banks has rapidly expanded due to the sustained rise in gold prices, with smaller banks showing particularly impressive growth. As of the end of September, Nanjing Bank's precious metals business reached 7.201 billion yuan, a staggering increase of 11,914.36% compared to the end of 2024. Hangzhou Bank's precious metals business grew to 1.217 billion yuan, up 1,523.57% from the end of 2024 [2]. - Joint-stock banks also experienced significant growth in their precious metals business. By the end of September, compared to the end of 2024, the precious metals business of Shanghai Pudong Development Bank increased by over 350%, while China CITIC Bank saw an increase of over 200%. Other banks like Zhejiang Commercial Bank, Industrial Bank, China Merchants Bank, and Minsheng Bank all reported growth exceeding 100% [2]. - Major banks maintained steady growth from a high base, with the precious metals business of Bank of China, China Construction Bank, and Agricultural Bank of China all increasing by over 10% compared to the end of 2024 [2]. Group 2: Strategic Focus on Precious Metals - The precious metals business combines wealth management and increased intermediary income, potentially becoming a significant factor in banks' intermediary income. Precious metals, especially gold, are seen as irreplaceable in banks' wealth management offerings and are crucial for customer asset allocation [3]. - Analysts note that the demand for gold as a hedge and a store of value is rising among residents. Banks, as key channels for gold bar sales and coin distribution, are well-positioned to meet this demand through the continued popularity of online investment products like account gold and gold accumulation [3]. - The decline in gold jewelry consumption may lead banks to reduce reliance on traditional jewelry sales and instead focus on innovation and promotion of their precious metals business [3]. Group 3: Risk Management Amid Price Volatility - Despite the growth, the high volatility of precious metals, particularly gold and silver, poses challenges for banks. Since October, these metals have entered a period of high volatility, prompting banks to enhance their risk management strategies [4]. - In response to market fluctuations, banks have adjusted trading rules and increased the minimum purchase thresholds for gold accumulation products to a range of 950 to 1,200 yuan, compared to around 500 yuan last year. Additionally, some banks have modified their precious metals wallet services to align with real-time gold price fluctuations [4]. - Looking ahead, institutions expect gold to retain its upward potential, maintaining its importance in asset allocation. The profitability of banks' precious metals business will increasingly depend on their internal capabilities, including the establishment of robust risk management systems to mitigate price volatility risks and the optimization of asset allocation for stable returns [4].