别指望中美相争会有“渔翁”得利

Group 1 - The meeting between the leaders of China and the United States in Busan has injected much-needed certainty into the often turbulent Sino-U.S. relationship, emphasizing mutual achievement and shared prosperity [1] - The essence of Sino-U.S. economic relations is mutual benefit rather than a zero-sum game, with trade volume increasing from less than $2.5 billion in 1979 to nearly $688.3 billion in 2024, and bilateral investment stock exceeding $260 billion [1] - The unilateral imposition of high tariffs by the U.S. at the beginning of the year led to a near halt in bilateral trade, resulting in rising prices for U.S. consumers and increased supply chain costs for businesses [1] Group 2 - Historical evidence shows that trade wars yield no winners, as seen with the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act exacerbating the Great Depression, and ongoing trade conflicts are lowering global economic growth expectations [2] - The interconnectedness of global supply chains means that disruptions in major economies will have ripple effects, making it unrealistic for third parties to benefit from Sino-U.S. tensions [2] - The complexity of international supply chains implies that any attempts to decouple will incur significant costs, and the short-term benefits of order shifts are fragile [2] Group 3 - Healthy and stable Sino-U.S. relations depend on rational recognition of shared interests and pragmatic management of differences, with recent discussions leading to a preliminary consensus on tariffs [3] - Economic cooperation should be the cornerstone of Sino-U.S. relations, focusing on long-term benefits rather than falling into a cycle of retaliation [3] - The future of Sino-U.S. relations hinges on moving beyond short-sighted competitive thinking to genuinely practice mutual achievement and shared prosperity, with the Busan meeting serving as a positive signal [3]