九阳股份(002242):Q3单季毛利率同比显著改善

Core Insights - Jiuyang Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 5.59 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-over-year decrease of 9.7%, while achieving a net profit attributable to shareholders of 120 million yuan, a year-over-year increase of 26.0% [1] - In Q3 alone, the company generated a revenue of 1.6 billion yuan, down 11.0% year-over-year, but turned a profit of 855,000 yuan compared to a loss of 77.32 million yuan in the same period last year [1] - The company’s online sales increased by 16.5% year-over-year in Q3, with an average price increase of 6.8%, indicating strong domestic demand driven by the appliance replacement policy [1] Revenue Performance - Q3 revenue showed a decline primarily due to pressure on overseas sales, influenced by U.S. tariffs and adjustments in related party transactions [1] - Domestic sales of kitchen small appliances benefited from government incentives, leading to improved performance in the domestic market [1] Profitability Analysis - Q3 net profit margin was 0.1%, an increase of 4.4 percentage points year-over-year, driven by a rise in gross margin, which increased by 6.1 percentage points [2] - The improvement in gross margin was attributed to reduced price competition in the kitchen small appliance sector and a shift in product mix, enhancing domestic business profitability [2] Cash Flow and Investment Outlook - Operating cash flow in Q3 decreased by 180 million yuan year-over-year, primarily due to increased inventory levels [2] - Jiuyang is expected to benefit from ongoing government subsidies stimulating domestic small appliance consumption and a gradual stabilization of export business, indicating potential for revenue recovery [2] - The company’s projected EPS for 2025 to 2027 is 0.23 yuan, 0.35 yuan, and 0.42 yuan respectively, maintaining a "Buy-A" investment rating with a target price of 12.15 yuan based on a 35 times dynamic P/E ratio for 2026 [2]