Core Viewpoint - The healthcare stocks in mainland China have experienced a significant pullback since early last month, with the Hang Seng Healthcare Index and the CSI 300 Healthcare Index declining by 12% and 9% respectively, compared to a 2% drop in the Hang Seng Index and a 1% increase in the CSI 300 Index [1] Group 1: Market Influences - The decline in healthcare stocks is influenced by multiple factors, including heightened US-China tensions and increased geopolitical risk premiums prompting profit-taking by investors [1] - The inclusion of a milder version of the US "Biosecurity Act" in next year's National Defense Authorization Act has raised uncertainties regarding pharmaceutical outsourcing services [1] - Concerns persist regarding potential increased US regulations that may restrict authorized transactions with China or limit clinical data from Chinese sources, impacting the biotech and pharmaceutical sectors [1] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Valuation - Recent authorized transactions have failed to boost market sentiment, and the lack of strong industry-level positive catalysts for the remainder of the year may limit stock price momentum [1] - The anticipated results of national medical insurance drug price negotiations and the legislative progress of the "Biosecurity Act" are expected to influence market sentiment [1] - Despite the pullback, industry valuations and market expectations for business development transactions are returning to more reasonable levels, with no substantial deterioration in the industry's solid fundamentals observed [1] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The recent stock price decline is viewed as providing favorable conditions for performance in the upcoming year [1] - Preferred stocks identified by the company include CanSino Biologics (09926), Hansoh Pharmaceutical (03692), and WuXi AppTec (02359), with additional positive outlooks for Innovent Biologics (01801) and Hengrui Medicine (01276) [1]
小摩:医药股回调为明年表现提供有利条件 首选康方生物(09926)、翰森制药(03692)及药明康德(02359)