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中国银河证券:AI需求强劲 功率半导体有望迎来周期反转
智通财经网·2025-11-04 01:32

Group 1: AI Demand and Market Growth - Overall AI demand remains strong, with Trendforce predicting a 24% year-on-year increase in capital expenditure from the top eight global CSP cloud service providers, reaching $520 billion by 2026, which will drive demand for computing chips [1] - The storage industry is experiencing an upward trend, likely boosting demand for power semiconductors [1] Group 2: Analog Chip Design - Domestic analog chip demand is continuously improving due to domestic substitution, with companies like Shengbang, Sieruwe, and Naxinwei reporting positive year-on-year revenue growth in Q3, with Sieruwe achieving a 70.29% increase and Naxinwei a 62.81% increase [1] - Competition in the industry remains intense, with slight fluctuations in gross margins for these companies in Q3 [1] Group 3: Digital Chip Design - NVIDIA's CEO announced that the company shipped 6 million Blackwell GPUs over the past four quarters, expecting sales of $500 billion from Blackwell and the upcoming Rubin chip over the next five quarters, indicating strong overall demand [2] - Samsung's storage chip business achieved record revenue in Q3, while SK Hynix also reported its highest quarterly performance, driven by the expansion of AI technology across all product areas [2] Group 4: Integrated Circuit Manufacturing - TSMC reported strong demand for generative AI during its Q3 earnings call, stating that the company is fully expanding its supply and anticipates that AI-related capacity will not meet total demand before 2026, with capital expenditures remaining high over the next two years [3] Group 5: Semiconductor Equipment - Domestic semiconductor equipment demand is robust, with North Huachuang achieving over 10 billion yuan in Q3 revenue, marking a 38.31% year-on-year increase [4] - Other companies like Zhongwei and Tuojing Technology reported revenue growth rates of 50.62% and 124.15% respectively in Q3, indicating strong performance in the semiconductor equipment sector [4] - Companies in the testing machine field, such as Changchuan Technology and Huafeng Measurement and Control, also saw significant revenue growth in Q3, with increases of 60.04% and 67.21% respectively [4]