Massif Capital Q3 2025 Letter To Investors

Performance Overview - The Massif Capital Real Assets Strategy achieved a return of 36.1% net of fees in Q3 2025, with year-to-date returns reaching 41.5% net of fees [2] - The strategy has been operational for 27 quarters, marking its best quarter to date and resulting in an annualized net-of-fees return of 14.6% since inception [2] Alpha and Risk Assessment - The company focuses on generating uncorrelated, risk-adjusted returns, referred to as Alpha, which is challenging to measure due to the complexities of risk [4][5] - Jensen's Alpha is utilized to evaluate performance, indicating whether returns exceed expectations based on market risk exposure [5][6] - The benchmark used for performance evaluation is the MSCI ACWI Ex US, which covers a broad range of global equity opportunities outside the US [8][9] Comparative Performance - The Massif Capital Real Assets Strategy outperformed various comparable funds and major indices, with a year-to-date alpha of 14.9% compared to peers [10][12] - The strategy's YTD return of 41.5% significantly exceeds the S&P 500 Index (13.7%) and NASDAQ Index (17.3%), showcasing strong performance in risk-adjusted terms with a Sortino Ratio of 1.5 [13] Individual Stock Performance - In the gold sector, core positions in G-Mining Ventures and Equinox Gold returned a portfolio-level return of 17.1% as of Q3 2025 [14] - G-Mining Ventures outperformed the sector with a return of 183%, while Equinox Gold lagged behind the market despite a long-term positive outlook [17][19] - The copper sector saw significant gains, with positions in NGEX and Midnight Sun delivering returns of 392% and 268% from cost basis, respectively [21] Critical Metals and Infrastructure - The portfolio includes critical metals such as lithium and uranium, with lithium positions performing well, while uranium investments face challenges due to geopolitical factors [24][49] - The company is exploring opportunities in infrastructure and industrials, aiming to capitalize on increasing electricity costs and innovative technologies [51][52] Market Outlook - The company anticipates that oil and natural gas investments may lead in Q4 2025, driven by potential supply constraints in Europe and favorable dividend yields from current positions [33][35] - Concerns regarding LNG supply availability and winter weather patterns could impact natural gas prices, with a focus on the interplay between European demand and Asian supply [40][42][45]