Core Viewpoint - Gold stocks continue to decline, with significant drops in major companies, reflecting a broader trend in the gold market as spot gold prices fall below $3980 per ounce, marking a decline of over 9% from the peak on October 20 [1] Company Performance - Lingbao Gold (03330) decreased by 4.27%, trading at HKD 15.9 [1] - Jihai Resources (02489) fell by 3.55%, trading at HKD 1.36 [1] - China Silver Group (00815) dropped by 3.23%, trading at HKD 0.6 [1] - China Gold International (02099) declined by 2.65%, trading at HKD 125 [1] Market Analysis - On November 4, spot gold prices fell by 0.53%, indicating a significant market correction [1] - The decline in gold prices is attributed to high implied volatility and profit-taking after substantial gains, alongside a weakening trend in capital inflow [1] - The market has over-priced geopolitical instability, with recent easing in tensions between the US and China, as well as the Russia-Ukraine conflict [1] Future Outlook - Short-term gold prices are expected to remain relatively high with significant volatility, while geopolitical risks are diminishing [1] - Without unexpected positive stimuli, London gold is anticipated to consolidate and fluctuate until the end of the year, with potential for new highs in the first quarter of the following year [1] - Future increases in gold prices may require two conditions: a reduction in implied volatility to levels seen in August-September and new macroeconomic driving factors [1]
港股异动 | 黄金股继续走软 现货黄金失守3980美元 机构预计年底前将盘整震荡