中原证券:锂电池行业景气持续向上 维持“强于大市”评级
智通财经网·2025-11-04 02:25

Group 1: Industry Outlook - The overall outlook for the new energy vehicle (NEV) and lithium battery industries is expected to remain positive during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, with significant growth in sales and market penetration [1][2] - NEV sales growth is projected to significantly exceed the overall growth rate of the automotive industry in China, with an expected annual compound growth rate of approximately 46.15% during the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] - The demand for lithium batteries is anticipated to continue growing, with energy storage lithium batteries becoming the primary growth driver, and the industry is expected to evolve towards green and low-carbon development [1][3] Group 2: Market Position and Competitiveness - China has maintained its position as the world's largest NEV market for ten consecutive years, with sales reaching 3.5072 million units in 2021 and an expected 16 million units by 2025, representing a global market share of 63.7% by 2024 [2] - The lithium battery industry in China is projected to reach a scale of 1.2 trillion yuan by 2024, with significant global competitive advantages, particularly in the power battery sector, which is expected to increase its global market share from 38.35% in 2020 to 68.79% by mid-2025 [3] Group 3: Technological Advancements - The importance of new energy vehicles and lithium batteries as key components of new productive forces has been emphasized in the 14th Five-Year Plan, with expectations for breakthroughs in solid-state batteries and other new technologies [1] - The integration of smart technologies in NEVs is expected to alleviate range anxiety and enhance overall competitiveness in the market [2]