黄金4030下方继续看弱势

Group 1 - The current spot gold price is trading around $3981.04, with a recent drop of 0.49% and a trading range between $4004.99 and $3975.59, indicating a short-term sideways trend [1] - Federal Reserve policymakers are signaling caution regarding future interest rate paths amid a government shutdown and missing key economic data, with a focus on preventing inflation rebound risks [2][3] - Chicago Fed President Goolsbee highlighted persistent high inflation, with a core inflation rate annualized at 3.6%, and service prices nearing 4%, exceeding the Fed's 2% target [2] Group 2 - The Fed officials emphasize data dependency in their decision-making, with Cook noting the current policy remains moderately restrictive while balancing inflation control and labor market risks [3] - Daly stated that the two rate cuts earlier in the year have provided economic support, but reiterated that inflation must return to target levels [3] - The uncertainty surrounding the release of key employment data due to the government shutdown increases the likelihood of maintaining current interest rates in December [3] Group 3 - Recent gold trading has shown a high volatility pattern, with the market currently in an adjustment phase, suggesting that both long and short positions can yield profits if managed correctly [4] - The analysis indicates a bearish outlook for gold, with resistance at the 4022 MA10 level, and a recommendation to maintain short positions until a clear breakout occurs [4] - Short-term indicators suggest a bearish trend, with a focus on entering short positions around $4005, while monitoring the strength of the European session for potential trading signals [4]