Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley warn of a market correction: 'Things run and then they pull back'

Core Insights - Global markets are expected to face a reality check after a strong rally, with warnings from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley about potential drawdowns in the next two years [1][5] Market Performance - Equities worldwide have reached record highs this year, driven by AI-related gains and expectations of interest rate cuts, with significant increases in key U.S. indexes, Japan's Nikkei 225, South Korea's Kospi, and China's Shanghai Composite [2] Drawdown Predictions - Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon predicts a 10 to 20% drawdown in equity markets within the next 12 to 24 months, emphasizing that such pullbacks are normal in long-term bull markets [3] - Solomon also noted that 10 to 15% drawdowns are common even during positive market cycles, which should not alter fundamental investment beliefs [4] Healthy Market Corrections - Morgan Stanley CEO Ted Pick views periodic pullbacks as healthy developments rather than signs of crisis, suggesting that drawdowns not driven by macroeconomic factors are a normal part of market behavior [4][5] Regional Opportunities - Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley identify Asia as a bright spot for investment, particularly following the recent U.S.-China trade pact, with Goldman highlighting China's significance as a major global economy [6] - Morgan Stanley expresses optimism about Hong Kong, China, Japan, and India, citing unique growth stories and investment themes such as Japan's corporate governance reforms and India's infrastructure development [7]