Shopify(US:SHOP) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-11-04 07:00Core Viewpoint - Shopify is expected to report third-quarter earnings with revenue projected at $2.73 billion, an increase from $2.16 billion year-over-year, while earnings per share are anticipated to drop to $0.26 from $0.66 in the previous year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance Expectations - The total gross merchandise volume (GMV) is expected to grow by 28%, reaching $89.12 billion [2] - Analysts predict that Shopify's expansion in enterprise and international markets will boost performance [2] - Deutsche Bank forecasts a GMV growth of 27%, down from 30% in the previous year, indicating stable market demand despite inflation and tariff impacts [3] Group 2: Strategic Partnerships and Market Position - Shopify's collaboration with OpenAI on "Instant Checkout" has positively influenced its stock price, reinforcing the belief that Shopify and its merchants can benefit from advancements in AI and smart commerce [3] - The company has been actively expanding its platform to attract larger enterprise clients, with notable partnerships including Starbucks and Miele [3] - Feedback from partners suggests strong momentum in market share growth among enterprise clients, with expectations of surpassing competitors in new customer acquisition [3] Group 3: Holiday Season Outlook - Investors are keen to see preliminary guidance for the fourth quarter as an indicator of holiday consumption trends, especially given last year's weak performance [3] - Despite early-year market volatility and macroeconomic concerns, Shopify's stock has risen over 60% this year, driven by accelerated revenue growth in the second quarter [3] - Analysts expect fourth-quarter guidance to align with Wall Street expectations, projecting around 20% revenue growth and a similar increase in gross profit [3]