Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a significant decline, with a nearly 13% drop, particularly affecting Chinese brokerage stocks, which also impacted the A-share market [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - Chinese brokerage stocks, including Guotai Junan International, saw a substantial drop, with the latter's stock price falling nearly 17% after a previous surge of almost 600% [4]. - Southbound funds have been continuously reducing their holdings, with over 71 million shares sold in the past month, including a notable reduction of over 25 million shares on October 27 [4]. - The overall performance of the Chinese brokerage sector in Hong Kong was weak, with the sector index dropping over 4%, while the A-share brokerage sector index also fell nearly 1% [4]. Group 2: Blockchain and Cryptocurrency Impact - The decline in the cryptocurrency market has negatively affected blockchain concept stocks, which also experienced a drop of over 10% [5]. - The global market appears to be in a phase of "killing high-priced assets," as evidenced by significant declines in other markets, including South Korea [5]. Group 3: Fundamental Analysis - Despite the market downturn, the fundamentals of brokerage firms remain strong, with Hong Kong's stock market seeing 66 new listings and raising $23.5 billion, marking a 45% increase in new listings and a 192% increase in financing compared to the previous year [6]. - In mainland China, 42 listed brokerages reported a total revenue of 419.56 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.02%, and a net profit of 169.05 billion yuan, up 62.38% [6]. - The valuation of the brokerage sector, as of October 31, shows a price-to-book ratio of approximately 1.43, which is within the historical range of the past three to five years [6]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Expectations - Current market focus on brokerage stocks may be overly concentrated on short-term trading pressures, with expectations for fourth-quarter trading activity potentially not contributing to significant profit increases [7]. - There is a notable discrepancy in market perception, as the recovery in the securities industry is not limited to brokerage and proprietary trading but is also evident in investment banking and asset management sectors [7].
港股A股券商板块齐承压，国泰君安国际盘中大跌，南向资金月减超7100万股成重要信号