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瑞银中国经济学家张宁:未来产业目前规模偏小,但是非常重要的潜能所在
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang·2025-11-04 06:59

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes China's goal to reach a per capita GDP of $25,000 to $30,000 by 2035, requiring an average annual nominal GDP growth of over 6% in the next decade [1] - The document highlights the importance of maintaining a reasonable proportion of the manufacturing sector, indicating that advanced manufacturing will be the backbone of the modern industrial system [2] - The focus on four key areas includes strengthening the global competitiveness of traditional industries, prioritizing strategic emerging industries, identifying potential future industries, and enhancing new infrastructure construction [2] Group 2 - The emphasis on innovation includes enhancing self-innovation capabilities, accelerating high-level technological independence, and focusing on key core technologies such as integrated circuits and advanced materials [3] - Research and development investment as a percentage of GDP is projected to increase from approximately 2.7% last year to over 3.2% by 2030 [3] - The development of artificial intelligence is highlighted as a dual focus on expanding computational power and algorithms while also applying AI across various industries, referred to as the "AI+" initiative [3]