More Money, Lower Prices: The Liquidity–Bitcoin Disconnect Explained

Core Insights - Bitcoin is currently trading at $104,376, having experienced a decline from recent highs of $111,190 and $111,250 over the weekend [1] - Despite significant global liquidity increases, including $125 billion injected by the US Federal Reserve and China's M2 money supply reaching $47 trillion, Bitcoin's price has not responded positively [2][5] Group 1: Liquidity Dynamics - The relationship between liquidity and Bitcoin prices is becoming increasingly complex, with the notion that expanding liquidity will automatically lead to higher Bitcoin prices being deemed simplistic [3] - The recent liquidity injections by the Fed are aimed at stabilizing short-term funding markets rather than stimulating broader risk-taking, which affects market liquidity that typically flows into assets like Bitcoin [4] Group 2: China’s Monetary Expansion - China's M2 money supply has reached approximately $47.1 trillion, more than double that of the US, which stands at around $22.2 trillion, highlighting a significant liquidity gap [5][6] - This unprecedented gap in liquidity dynamics reflects China's long-term credit expansion strategy focused on infrastructure and exports rather than speculative markets [6]