A solid earnings season reveals tech strength and consumer weakness

Core Insights - Corporate earnings are increasingly significant in the absence of key government data, serving as a guide for investors amid trade battles, inflation, and a weakening labor market [1] - Despite a generally positive earnings season, there is an underlying concern regarding consumer affordability issues that persist from the previous season [2] Earnings Performance - As of last week, 81% of S&P 500 companies exceeded EPS consensus, while 76% surpassed sales expectations, although both metrics have slightly declined from previous updates [3] - EPS beats are marginally above last quarter's levels, but sales beats are tracking slightly below the prior season [3] Market Sentiment - Analysts believe earnings are providing a solid foundation for the US equity market, but sentiment is lower compared to the last reporting season, indicating that the peak of the earnings story may have passed [4] Sector Insights - The tech sector reported strength in AI and mobile, while consumer companies expressed concerns about current market conditions [6] - Tariffs emerged as a significant theme, with companies noting early shopper purchases to avoid levies and ongoing hesitancy in decision-making due to tariff-related uncertainties [7] Consumer Behavior - Consumer-related companies reported a price-sensitive and value-conscious consumer base, with Kimberly-Clark executives indicating no immediate relief for consumer pressures [8][10] - Other companies highlighted deteriorating consumer sentiment, citing challenges in housing affordability, reduced travel stays, lower demand for vehicle repairs, and dining pressures among low- to middle-income customers [10]