Expedia Set to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in the Cards for the Stock?

Core Insights - Expedia Group (EXPE) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on November 6, with expected revenues of $4.3 billion, reflecting a 5.9% year-over-year increase [1][10] - The consensus estimate for earnings is $7.21 per share, indicating a 17.62% increase from the previous year [1][10] - EXPE has surpassed earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 3.4% [2] Revenue and Booking Projections - Management anticipates third-quarter gross bookings to grow by 5% to 7% and revenues to increase by 4% to 6%, although there are warnings of slower growth in the fourth quarter due to challenging year-over-year comparisons [3] - The company noted a softening in U.S. travel market conditions during the second quarter, but observed an uptick in overall travel demand since July, which is expected to positively impact third-quarter bookings and revenue, particularly in the domestic market [4] Dividend and Financial Guidance - In August, Expedia's board declared a quarterly cash dividend of 40 cents per share, payable on September 18, 2025, reflecting management's confidence in the company's cash generation capabilities [5] - Following strong performance in the first half of the year and improved travel demand trends, the company raised its full-year guidance, expecting gross bookings and revenue growth of 3% to 5% with an adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of one percentage point [6] Earnings Expectations - The current Earnings ESP for EXPE is +8.44%, and it holds a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a potential for an earnings beat [8][10]