Spotify Guides Above Street on Q4 Operating Profit as Premium Momentum Builds

Core Insights - Spotify Technology S.A. has guided for fourth-quarter operating income significantly above analyst estimates, driven by healthy user activity and strong performance in its premium tier [1] - The company has seen a share price increase of over 40% year to date, attributed to profitability improvements through price increases and cost controls [1] Financial Performance - In Q3, Spotify reported a payroll tax charge of €16 million, which was €41 million lower than forecasted and down from €53 million year-over-year [2] - Operating expenses decreased by 2% due to the reduced tax charge and favorable currency effects; however, excluding these factors, operating expenses rose by 11% due to increased marketing and personnel costs [2] - Premium revenue increased by 9% to €3.83 billion, supported by double-digit subscriber growth [2] Future Projections - For Q4, Spotify anticipates continued growth and improving margins through 2025 as it reinvests for long-term potential [3] - Monthly active users are projected to reach 745 million, surpassing expectations, with notable premium subscriber growth in Latin America and North America [3] - The expected operating income for Q4 is €620 million, compared to a consensus of €605.3 million, with recent high-profile releases contributing to engagement trends [3]