ARKO (US:ARKO) ZACKS·2025-11-04 17:30Core Insights - Arko Corp. is expected to report a decline in revenues for Q3 2025, with estimates at $1.98 billion, reflecting a 13.1% decrease from the previous year [1][8] - The earnings consensus remains stable at 12 cents per share, indicating a significant growth of 71.4% year-over-year [1] - The company has experienced a trailing four-quarter negative earnings surprise averaging 42.1% [1] Revenue and Earnings Outlook - Arko is navigating a challenging environment characterized by macroeconomic pressures and changing consumer behavior, impacting same-store merchandise sales and retail fuel volumes [2] - The company anticipates adjusted EBITDA between $70 million and $80 million, down from $78.8 million in the same period last year [3][8] - Fuel margins have normalized, with retail fuel margins fluctuating between 42.5 and 44.5 cents per gallon [3] Sales Performance - Early signs of stabilization were noted in Q3, with July same-store sales (excluding cigarettes) showing slight year-over-year improvement, marking the best performance in nearly 18 months [4] - Both inside sales and fuel volumes are improving sequentially, suggesting that targeted promotions and loyalty initiatives are positively influencing sales [4] Earnings Prediction - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for Arko, with a Zacks Rank of 3 and an Earnings ESP of 0.00% [5]