财说| 单季亏损扩大，合锻智能隐患终显

Core Viewpoint - The financial report of Hezhong Intelligent (603011.SH) shows a stark contrast with a 14.03% year-on-year revenue increase to 1.673 billion yuan in the first three quarters, while net profit turned from a profit of 7.68 million yuan last year to a loss of 44.33 million yuan, with a significant quarterly loss of 53.84 million yuan in Q3, reflecting a 1661% decline year-on-year [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue growth of 14.03% in the first three quarters, reaching 1.673 billion yuan, with Q3 revenue growth at 23.44% [1] - Net profit shifted from a profit of 7.68 million yuan in the same period last year to a loss of 44.33 million yuan [1] - Q3 net loss expanded to 53.84 million yuan, marking a 1661% decline year-on-year [1][2] Market Reaction - Following the release of the Q3 report, the company's stock price fell to the daily limit [2] - The stock had previously surged over 40% within a month, driven by market speculation linking it to the "controlled nuclear fusion" concept [2] Underlying Issues - The significant loss in Q3 was foreshadowed by the previous half-year report, which indicated a contradiction of revenue growth without profit increase [3][6] - The company’s revenue heavily relies on traditional products, with over 95% coming from color sorters, hydraulic presses, and mechanical presses, while the anticipated nuclear fusion-related revenue remains negligible [6][8] Cash Flow and Asset Management - Cash flow from operating activities showed a decline, with Q3 cash flow at 55 million yuan, down 41.2% year-on-year, indicating potential revenue inflation risks [9] - Inventory levels were high, with a 10.78% increase to 1.367 billion yuan, and asset impairment losses surged by 793% to 65.99 million yuan in the first three quarters [8][9] Market Valuation and Speculation - Despite poor financial performance, the company's stock price has tripled this year, largely due to speculation around controlled nuclear fusion [10] - The market has overvalued the company based on anticipated breakthroughs in nuclear fusion technology, leading to a current price-to-book ratio of 5.42, which is 14.2% higher than the industry average [11] - If the nuclear fusion business does not meet expectations, there is a risk of a valuation bubble burst [11]