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中金:银行已进入高质量发展阶段 高股息投资成为主要范式
智通财经网·2025-11-05 00:09

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that stability is likely to characterize the banking industry's performance in 2026, with expected steady year-on-year growth in revenue and profit for listed banks, primarily due to a further narrowing of net interest margin pressure [1][2] - Credit growth may slow down further, driven by weak credit demand and insufficient risk compensation, while social financing growth will depend on fiscal policy [1][2] - After several years of fee reductions and the digestion of high base pressure, the growth rate of fee income is expected to stabilize and rebound [2] Group 2 - Small and micro enterprises, along with retail customer exposures, remain the main sources of non-performing loans, but corporate business exposures are expected to maintain stability or even show an improving trend in net non-performing loan generation rates [2] - The industry is likely to see accelerated supply-side reforms, evidenced by a rapid decrease in the number of bank licenses, leading to improved competition and operational landscape [2] - The banking sector has entered a high-quality development phase, with only a few listed banks achieving double-digit growth, and high-dividend investment becoming the main paradigm [3]