上海银行(601229)：业绩增速稳中有进 风险抵补能力夯实

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Bank reported a revenue of 41.14 billion yuan for the first nine months of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.0%, with net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 18.08 billion yuan, up 2.8% year-on-year [1][2]. Financial Performance - The bank's net interest income for 9M25 was 25.12 billion yuan, showing a modest year-on-year increase of 0.5%, with a decline in growth rate compared to 1H25 [2] - Other non-interest income surged by 14.7% year-on-year to 13.13 billion yuan, benefiting from realized gains and increased investment income [2] - The effective tax rate improved, with tax expenses rising only 1.9% year-on-year in 9M25, contributing positively to performance [2] Loan Growth and Asset Quality - The loan balance at the end of 9M25 was 1.4416 trillion yuan, up 2.0% year-on-year, with a notable increase in loans to key sectors such as technology and green finance [3] - The bank's net interest margin was measured at 1.05%, slightly improving from 1.04% in 1H24, supported by optimized funding costs [3] - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 1.18%, indicating solid asset quality, with a provision coverage ratio of 255% [3] Investment Outlook - Shanghai Bank is well-positioned in key regions and is expected to maintain steady operations, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 of 24.29 billion, 25.42 billion, and 26.77 billion yuan, respectively [4] - The current price-to-book ratio is estimated at 0.57, 0.53, and 0.49 for the years 2025 to 2027 [4]