博时宏观观点：十五五规划建议发布，科技有望成为投资重要主线

Group 1: Economic Indicators - The October PMI in China showed a decline, indicating weak domestic demand and the need for further counter-cyclical policies [1] - The FOMC meeting in October signaled a hawkish stance, with Powell suggesting that a rate cut in December is not guaranteed, leading to a rebound in U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar [1][2] Group 2: Market Performance - A-shares are expected to see a moderate improvement in earnings for Q3, with a continued upward trend anticipated in the economic recovery [2] - The bond market has experienced significant gains, with the central bank's announcement to restart government bond trading boosting liquidity expectations [1] Group 3: Sector Focus - The "14th Five-Year Plan" draft suggests that technology will become a key investment theme in the A-share market over the next few years [1][2] - In the short term, there is a high interest in technology stocks, indicating a need for style balance in the market [2] Group 4: Global Market Dynamics - Recent sanctions by the EU and the U.S. against Russia have led to a significant rebound in oil prices, while ongoing trade negotiations between China and the U.S. have alleviated previous panic [2] - Gold prices have seen volatility due to trade war threats, but a positive long-term outlook is maintained [2]