Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International raises the target price for New Oriental Education & Technology Group (09901) by 19.6% from HKD 46 to HKD 55, maintaining a "Buy" rating due to positive outlook on K12 education and training business demand and growth prospects [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For Q1 of fiscal year 2026, New Oriental reported a revenue increase of 6% year-on-year to USD 1.523 billion, exceeding the bank's expectations by 1% [1] - Adjusted operating profit was approximately USD 336 million, with an operating profit margin of 22%, expanding by 1 percentage point compared to the same period last year [1] - Adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders was USD 258 million, corresponding to a net profit margin of 17% [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The study highlights that the study abroad-related business, although recently impacted, still leads the industry, with consulting and preparatory income growing by 1% and 2% year-on-year, respectively, contrary to previous expectations of a 5% decline [1] - The university and adult education segments maintained steady growth, with a revenue increase of 14% year-on-year, while K9 new business revenue grew by 15%, with learning devices outperforming non-academic subjects [1] Group 3: Future Guidance - Management maintains the revenue guidance for fiscal year 2026, expecting a year-on-year growth rate of 5-10%, with Q2 revenue growth projected between 9-12%, compared to previous expectations of 9% [2] - The K12 business's retention rates and product quality improvements are expected to drive revenue recovery within a stable growth range, while ongoing efficiency measures are likely to support stable or slightly increased operating profit margins [2] - The overall revenue growth rate for the company is expected to exceed 10% for fiscal years 2026, 2027, and 2028, with a consistent trend of profit margin expansion [2]
交银国际：上调新东方-S(09901)港股目标价至55港元 维持“买入”评级