11月多晶硅减产，光伏供需逻辑改善，光伏ETF基金(516180)逆势涨超3%

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a strong upward trend, driven by supply-side adjustments and increasing demand for renewable energy, particularly due to the global AI computing power expansion [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The China Photovoltaic Industry Index (931151) rose by 3.10%, with key stocks such as LONGi Green Energy (601012) and Trina Solar (688599) showing significant gains of 9.99% and 6.40% respectively [1]. - The photovoltaic ETF fund (516180) increased by 3.16%, with the latest price at 0.85 yuan [1]. Group 2: Supply-Side Dynamics - The expected domestic production of polysilicon for November is 120,100 tons, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of approximately 10.4% due to the dry season and industry self-discipline [1]. - The photovoltaic industry is witnessing a "de-involution" trend, with multiple polysilicon companies discussing self-regulation and production cuts at a recent conference in Shanghai [1][2]. Group 3: Demand-Side Factors - The large-scale construction of AI computing power globally is expected to drive electricity demand, positioning photovoltaics as a crucial energy supplement due to its flexibility [1]. - The focus on the "14th Five-Year Plan" for photovoltaic installation demand support, along with the cancellation of export tax rebates and strict enforcement of sales above cost price, is anticipated to enhance the supply-demand relationship in the industry [2]. Group 4: Index Composition - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Photovoltaic Industry Index account for 60.74% of the index, including major players like Sungrow Power Supply (300274) and Tongwei Co., Ltd. (600438) [2].