Prediction: Archer Aviation (ACHR) Will Be Worth More Than Joby Aviation (JOBY) by 2030

Core Insights - Archer Aviation and Joby Aviation are leading players in the eVTOL aircraft market, both aiming to launch air taxi services as part of their monetization strategies [1] - Joby Aviation currently has a market cap of $14 billion, which is twice that of Archer Aviation's $7 billion market cap [2] - Joby's higher valuation is attributed to stronger investor confidence in its long-term business model and significant backing from major companies like Delta Airlines, Toyota, and Uber [3][4] Company Comparisons - Joby Aviation has made more progress in obtaining FAA approval for U.S. operations compared to Archer Aviation, which has led to a perception of Joby as the first mover in the market [4][5] - Archer Aviation's strategy involves outsourcing much of its aircraft manufacturing, which has raised skepticism among investors compared to Joby's vertically integrated approach [4] - Archer Aviation is targeting a broader market, including the defense sector, and has an asset-light strategy that may allow for quicker scaling without heavy upfront capital commitments [6][7] Future Potential - Archer Aviation's business model may have greater upside potential and a clearer path to profitability, despite currently lagging in regulatory approval [6] - Joby Aviation's capital-intensive model has led to plans for a dilutive secondary stock offering to raise more capital [7][8] - Archer Aviation could present a compelling opportunity for long-term growth investors due to its strategic positioning and market targeting [8]