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国海证券:SOFC新蓝海 铬盐价值再次迎来重估
智通财经网·2025-11-05 07:20

Core Viewpoint - The chromium salt industry is undergoing a value reassessment driven by significant growth in gas turbine demand due to AI data centers and a substantial increase in demand for commercial aircraft engines [1][2]. Group 1: Chromium Salt Demand and Supply - The price of metallic chromium is expected to rise in two waves by 2025, influenced by the overseas "two-machine" industrial chain driving high growth in chromium salt demand [1]. - The demand for chromium salt is projected to have a supply gap of 340,900 tons by 2028, with a gap ratio of 32% [2]. Group 2: SOFC Technology and Market Potential - SOFC (Solid Oxide Fuel Cell) technology is expected to significantly drive the demand for chromium salt, with 1GW of SOFC demand potentially requiring 8,200 tons of metallic chromium and 29,550 tons of sodium dichromate [1]. - The energy demand from data centers is projected to exceed supply, with an announcement of 35GW of data center capacity in the next five years, which is more than six times the average energy capacity of New York City [3]. - SOFCs are anticipated to have a broader market space due to their higher energy conversion efficiency compared to gas turbines and existing steam turbines, leading to a significant reduction in cost per kilowatt hour as capacity is released [3]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The industry is recommended for investment, particularly in companies such as Zhihua Co., Ltd. (603067.SH), Sanhuan Group, Yishitong (688733.SH), and Weichai Power (000338.SZ), which are key players in the SOFC and chromium salt markets [4].