Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2025-11-05 08:07Core Viewpoint - A significant surge in the electrical equipment sector was triggered by a UBS report predicting a 10-year super cycle in China's electricity market, with electricity demand growth expected to double from previous estimates, reaching an annual growth rate of 8% between 2028 and 2030 [1][8]. Group 1: Market Reaction - The electrical equipment sector saw a notable increase, with nearly 30 stocks experiencing a limit-up or over 10% rise, including Can Energy and Yinen Power, which reached a 30% and over 20% increase respectively [1][3]. - The overall market sentiment reflects a strong bullish trend in the electrical equipment sector, driven by the UBS report [1][8]. Group 2: Demand Forecast - UBS forecasts that the annual growth rate of electricity demand in China will surge to 8% from 2028 to 2030, marking the beginning of a sustained 5-10 year super cycle in the domestic electricity industry [1][8]. - The report highlights that structural changes in demand, driven by new production capacities, traditional industry upgrades, and rising consumer spending, will be the core drivers of this super cycle [8][9]. Group 3: Supply Dynamics - The supply side is undergoing significant restructuring under the dual carbon goals, with predictions that the share of renewable energy in domestic power generation will rise from 31% to over 50% in the next five years [10]. - Traditional coal power is expected to transition into a stabilizing role within the power system, with integrated projects combining coal power and energy storage becoming mainstream [10][11]. Group 4: Policy Support - The strong policy attributes of the electricity sector provide a solid foundation for the super cycle, with national plans and funding mechanisms supporting renewable energy and grid construction [11]. - The State Grid's investment plan of over 1.2 trillion yuan in the next three years for the construction of ultra-high voltage and smart grids addresses the supply-demand mismatch between renewable energy sources and consumption centers [11].