“极不光彩的纪录！”——美国停不下来的联邦政府“停摆”

Core Points - The U.S. federal government shutdown has reached its 36th day, marking the longest shutdown in U.S. history, surpassing the previous record of 35 days from late 2018 to early 2019 [1][2] - The ongoing shutdown is a result of escalating political conflicts between the Democratic and Republican parties, with both sides prioritizing political gains over addressing public welfare [1][8] - The shutdown is expected to have significant economic repercussions, with estimates suggesting a potential decline in the U.S. GDP growth rate by 1 to 2 percentage points in Q4, and a loss of approximately $15 billion for each week the shutdown continues [3][4] Economic Impact - The Congressional Budget Office has projected a decrease in the annual GDP growth rate due to the shutdown, with estimates of a 1 to 2 percentage point decline [3] - The shutdown has led to the suspension of food assistance programs, marking the first time in 60 years that the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program has halted benefits [3] - The aviation sector is experiencing significant disruptions, with thousands of air traffic controllers and security personnel working without pay, resulting in numerous flight delays and cancellations [4] Political Dynamics - The current shutdown reflects a deepening political polarization, with both parties using the situation to advance their political agendas rather than seeking compromise [2][6] - Historical context shows that the frequency and duration of government shutdowns have increased, with the last major shutdown lasting 35 days during the Trump administration [7][9] - Public sentiment is increasingly negative towards both parties, with a majority of Americans feeling that neither party is addressing their needs effectively [8][9] Governance Issues - Analysts suggest that the root cause of the shutdown lies in systemic governance failures, with calls for reforming the congressional budget process to prevent future occurrences [9][10] - The current political climate has led to a lack of willingness among elected officials to negotiate or seek solutions that serve the public interest [9][10] - The shutdown has damaged the credibility of the U.S. government both domestically and internationally, raising concerns about the ability of American political institutions to govern effectively [10]