Obamacare Premiums Are Up $1,000 a Month. Should You Enroll Now or Wait for Subsidies?

Core Insights - The Affordable Care Act (ACA) open enrollment began on November 1, 2025, but subsidies are uncertain due to the ongoing government shutdown [1][2] - Premiums for ACA plans are expected to rise significantly, with average premiums potentially reaching $1,000 per month, as enhanced premium tax credits are set to expire at the end of 2025 [2][8] - The expiration of these credits, which were introduced by the American Rescue Plan, is a major political issue affecting the government shutdown, with Democrats insisting on subsidy discussions before reopening the government [4][6] Premium Increases - Current ACA rates reflect the assumption that Americans will not receive enhanced premium tax credits, leading to much higher premiums compared to previous years [2][10] - Research indicates that without the enhanced credits, average out-of-pocket premiums for enrollees could more than double, increasing by $1,000 annually [9] - Older adults, particularly those in their sixties with middle incomes, could face an additional $25,000 in costs due to the loss of subsidies [9] Market Dynamics - Insurers are raising premiums in anticipation of a riskier enrollee pool, as younger and healthier individuals may leave the market without financial assistance [10] - The uncertainty surrounding subsidies is causing many potential enrollees to experience "sticker shock" when shopping for ACA plans [7][8] - There is a possibility for individuals to wait for Congress to extend subsidies, but they must enroll by the 2026 deadlines to avoid losing coverage [6][8]