Fidelis Insurance (US:FIHL) ZACKSยท2025-11-05 16:01Core Viewpoint - Fidelis Insurance Holdings (FIHL) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to reveal quarterly earnings of $1.60 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +73.9%, with revenues projected at $758.54 million, up 10.5% from the previous year [3]. - The stock may experience upward movement if these key figures exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 8.37% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Fidelis Insurance aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, suggesting no recent differing analyst views [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict deviations from consensus estimates, with a positive ESP being a strong indicator of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [9][10]. - Fidelis Insurance currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat conclusively [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Fidelis Insurance was expected to post a loss of $0.12 per share but instead delivered earnings of $0.12, resulting in a surprise of +200.00% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14]. Conclusion - While the potential for an earnings beat exists, other factors may influence stock movement, and the company does not currently appear to be a compelling earnings-beat candidate [15][17].