Shopify(US:SHOP) Benzinga·2025-11-05 16:44Core Insights - Shopify Inc. is experiencing significant growth driven by strong global demand, record transaction volumes, and increasing adoption of payments through partnerships with PayPal and Klarna [1][4][5] Financial Performance - Shopify's third-quarter revenue reached $2.84 billion, exceeding estimates of $2.74 billion from DA Davidson and $2.76 billion from Wall Street, with a constant-currency revenue growth of 30% [4] - The company's gross merchandise volume (GMV) in North America and rising payments penetration contributed to the strong performance [4] - Payment adoption globally reached 65% of GMV, indicating robust growth in this area [5] Analyst Ratings and Price Forecasts - DA Davidson analyst maintained a Buy rating and raised the price forecast from $185 to $195 [2] - Scotiabank analyst reiterated a Sector Perform rating and increased the price forecast from $150 to $165 [2] - Benchmark analyst also maintained a Buy rating with a price forecast of $195 [2] Future Outlook - Analysts view Shopify's fourth-quarter guidance as conservative, anticipating mid- to high-twenties revenue growth due to holiday spending and new enterprise customers [6][8] - Projected revenue for full-year 2025 and 2026 is expected to rise to $11.46 billion and $14.25 billion, respectively [6] Strategic Positioning - Shopify has a clean balance sheet with no debt and approximately $6 billion in cash, positioning the company well for strategic acquisitions, particularly in AI capabilities [7] - The partnership with OpenAI is expected to enhance Shopify's position in the AI commerce space [9] Market Opportunities - Analysts believe advertising represents a significant untapped opportunity for Shopify, with potential additional revenue exceeding $10 billion if the company captures a small percentage of merchant marketing spend [10] - Shopify's stock has risen nearly 50% year-to-date, reflecting strong market performance [11]