Navigating Volatility: How Defense ETFs' Dip Offers Long-Run Opportunity

Core Insights - Major defense ETFs experienced a decline at the start of November 2025, with SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) slipping approximately 2.6% and iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) dropping 1.9% over two trading sessions [1][2] - Despite the recent pullback, defense ETFs are considered attractive for long-term investors due to sustained increases in government defense spending, technological advancements, and geopolitical tensions [5][6] Market Dynamics - The recent slump in Defense ETFs is attributed to short-term market mechanics and broader industry-specific concerns, including inflationary pressures, labor shortages, and the ongoing U.S. government shutdown [3][4] - Negative sentiment in segments like commercial aerospace can weigh on the entire fund, even if core defense holdings remain resilient [3] Industry Outlook - Global defense spending reached a record $2.46 trillion in 2024, driven by deteriorating security environments and heightened threat perceptions, particularly in Europe and MENA [5][6] - The aerospace and defense manufacturing sector is expected to maintain a strong pace, with increased investments in advanced weapon systems and emerging technologies [6] Company Performance - Prominent defense contractors such as Lockheed Martin, General Dynamics, Boeing, and Northrop Grumman reported strong earnings in their third-quarter results, indicating robust underlying business health supported by solid product demand [7] - These companies have a strong backlog, suggesting solid revenue growth prospects, making the recent ETF dips likely a short-lived matter [7] Investment Opportunities - Current dips in defense ETFs present attractive buying opportunities for long-term investors, with specific ETFs highlighted for their growth potential: - SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) has $4.71 billion in assets under management and has surged 46.5% year to date [8][9] - Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF (PPA) has a net asset value of $155.40 and gained 36.1% year to date [10] - iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) has net assets worth $12.37 billion and gained 46.6% year to date [11]