Hyatt to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?

Core Viewpoint - Hyatt Hotels Corporation is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on November 6, with a focus on maintaining fee-based growth and transitioning to an asset-light earnings model amid fluctuating U.S. demand [1] Financial Performance - In the last reported quarter, Hyatt's earnings per share (EPS) and revenues exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3% and 3.9%, respectively, with a year-over-year revenue growth of 6.2% but a significant EPS decline of 55.6% [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the upcoming quarter's EPS has decreased to 49 cents from 55 cents over the past 60 days, indicating a 47.6% drop from the previous year's EPS of 94 cents. Revenue estimates are set at approximately $1.83 billion, reflecting a 12.5% increase from the prior year [3] Market Trends and Factors Influencing Results - Hyatt is benefiting from strong luxury travel spending and global leisure demand, particularly in all-inclusive resorts, with international markets expected to outperform the U.S. due to robust inbound tourism and growth in Europe and Asia Pacific [4] - System-wide RevPAR growth for the third quarter is projected to be at the low end of flat to up 2%, with U.S. RevPAR expected to remain flat or slightly down year-over-year before improving in the fourth quarter [5] - In Greater China, RevPAR is anticipated to rise in the low single digits for the remainder of the year, while Europe is expected to face challenges with RevPAR contraction in the third quarter [6] Revenue and Fee Growth - Revenue from Franchise and other fees is predicted to increase by 6.6% year-over-year to $126.9 million, with total gross fees expected to rise by 9.7% to $294.1 million [7] - Despite anticipated revenue growth, management expects continued margin pressure due to integration costs and inflation, with adjusted EBITDA projected to decline by 8.1% year-over-year to $252.7 million [9][8] Earnings Prediction - The current model indicates that Hyatt is unlikely to beat earnings expectations, with an Earnings ESP of -18.92% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [10]